Sunday, May 8, 2011

Islamic Crusade

The one great news the free world has had this year has be the extermination of Bin Laden. Or is it?

One of the greatest masterstrokes the US could achieve was bringing down the U.S.S.R by proxy. But the Frankenstein it created is night mare for all of us.

Just a few decades later are we at a threshold for a similar catastrophe or worse an Islamic Crusade ?

A few thoughts on 3 countries:

Egypt Most us would have rejoiced seeing the fall of Hosni Mubarak, nothing wrong, if a leader turns tyrannically, it’s time for him to go. But what Mubarak & Anwar Sadat did all during their reign for the free world was putting a lid on a boiling pot of religious fanaticism. And they did it so well that even a dreaded soul like Ayman al-Zawahiri found no solace there.

The issue is how long democracy will be able to sustain in a country like Egypt before fanatical groups will make it there playground.

Recent fights between Muslims and Copts even if orchestrated is worrying, especially considering the inefficiency with which the army reacted.

Could this be the beginning of the brotherhood slowly gaining grounds in a weak Egypt. And will this invite leaders like Ayman al – Zawahiri back to their mother land and new resurgence of Islamic fundamentalism.

The revolution across Libya, Syria and for sure Yemen has a huge blessing of the Brother Hood. What happens to Yemen if Saleh’s is toppled, which will happen soon.

It may not be complete dominance of Al-Queda in the Arab peninsula, but surely it will provide the future, funds, manpower, ideological base and land to operate from.

Afghanistan – With Bin Laden out of the picture it could be a picture perfect withdrawal of American forces from Afghanistan. The politician’s are happy and so is the tax payers and so is the Taliban. What happens post July 2011 could be a repetition of what happen post Soviet withdrawal and formation of Taliban. How much could Humid Karzai keep control of land away from Kabul without western boots on the ground is a big doubt?

Pakistan – If nation building was the objective of allied forces in Afghanistan, then they should have started with Pakistan, since it’s actually the root cause of lots of instability in Afghanistan. Wonder how many Afghans are actually causing trouble in Afghanistan compare to Pakistani or its cronies there?

With the political leadership completely shaky and the military split, and with the US withdrawal in the West, all attention of the army will move East while giving a free leash to terror elements to operate from.

With a pile of nuclear arsenal and the military getting more fundamentalist, this is the last thing we wanted.

Similar scenarios seem to develop in other countries like Indonesia & Malaysia and many more.

To add up to this scenario we have a slow cultural alienation happening across the world clearly dividing the Muslims and the non Muslims. The ghetto seems to be slowly forming everywhere.

Will the world see an Islamic Crusade? Or another cold war only time can say.

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